“他们谈论想要重建你可以称之为七世纪哈里发国的体制。这就是大约一千两三百年前的世界格局，那时伊斯兰教或伊斯兰民族控制着从西边的葡萄牙和西班牙，横跨地中海直到北非，整个北非，中东，向北直到巴尔干半岛，中亚各共和国，俄罗斯南端，印度的大片地区，一直延伸到今天的印度尼西亚。从某种意义上说，一端是巴厘岛和雅加达，另一端是马德里。”——美国前副总统切尼 2004年12月，美国中央情报局下属的国家情报委员会预测，到2020年，一个新的哈里发国将登上世界舞台。这一研判见于一份名为《绘制全球未来图景》的123页报告。该报告旨在通过预测可能对美国利益构成威胁的当前趋势，为即将上任的布什政府应对未来的挑战做准备。报告呈交给美国总统、国会议员、内阁成员以及参与决策的关键官员。

“They talk about wanting to re-establish what you could refer to as the Seventh Century Caliphate. This was the world as it was organized 1,200, 1,300 years, in effect, when Islam or Islamic people controlled everything from Portugal and Spain in the West; all through the Mediterranean to North Africa; all of North Africa; the Middle East; up into the Balkans; the Central Asian republics; the southern tip of Russia; a good swath of India; and on around to modern day Indonesia. In one sense from Bali and Jakarta on one end, to Madrid on the other." -- Former US Vice President Cheney In December 2004, The National Intelligence Council of the CIA predicted that in the year 2020 a new Caliphate would emerge on the world stage. The findings were published in a 123-page report titled “Mapping the Global Future”. The aim of the report is to prepare the next Bush administration for challenges that lie ahead by projecting current trends that may pose a threat to US interest. The report is presented to the US president, members of Congress, cabinet members and key officials involved in policymaking.